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2023/2024

Demographic Analysis

Code: 104254 ECTS Credits: 6
Degree Type Year Semester
2503710 Geography, Environmental Management and Spatial Planning OB 3 1

Contact

Name:
Joaquin Recaņo Valverde
Email:
joaquin.recano@uab.cat

Teaching groups languages

You can check it through this link. To consult the language you will need to enter the CODE of the subject. Please note that this information is provisional until 30 November 2023.

Teachers

Antonio Lopez Gay

Prerequisites

There are no prerequisites


Objectives and Contextualisation

The subject has three basic objectives:

a) Learning the advanced methods and techniques of demographic analysis: construction and interpretation of net moment and generation indicators for all demographic phenomena

b) Access to theoretical explanations of the evolution of the most characteristic demographic phenomena, mortality, fertility, nuptials and migrations.

c) The fondations of elaboration of a projection by components like activity of synthesis of the acquired knowledge.


Competences

  • Combine distinct techniques and methods of representation and spatial analysis in elaborating materials for transmitting results.
  • Critically analyse the relationship between society and the region applying the conceptual and theoretical framework of geography.
  • Students must be capable of collecting and interpreting relevant data (usually within their area of study) in order to make statements that reflect social, scientific or ethical relevant issues.
  • Students must develop the necessary learning skills to undertake further training with a high degree of autonomy.
  • Students must have and understand knowledge of an area of study built on the basis of general secondary education, and while it relies on some advanced textbooks it also includes some aspects coming from the forefront of its field of study.

Learning Outcomes

  1. Combine distinct techniques and methods of representation and spatial analysis in elaborating materials for transmitting results.
  2. Describe different demographic phenomena.
  3. Students must be capable of collecting and interpreting relevant data (usually within their area of study) in order to make statements that reflect social, scientific or ethical relevant issues.
  4. Students must develop the necessary learning skills to undertake further training with a high degree of autonomy.
  5. Students must have and understand knowledge of an area of study built on the basis of general secondary education, and while it relies on some advanced textbooks it also includes some aspects coming from the forefront of its field of study.

Content

PART I: ELEMENTS OF DEMOGRAPHIC ANALYSIS

1. Demographic sources on the web

1.1. Demographic sources: flows and stocks on the web

1.2. Treatment of demographic microdata from censuses, MNPs and surveys.

2. Advanced elements of demographic analysis

2.1. The representation of time in Demography: the Lexis diagram.

2.2. Optical analysis and reconstruction of longitudinal observations from cross-sectional data and vice versa

2.3. Construction of different types of rates, probabilities and proportions depending on the type of observation.

2.4. Advanced analysis of the effects of age, generation and time.

2.5. Analysis by order of demographic phenomena

2.6. Phenomenal survival tables.

PART II: ANALYSIS OF DEMOGRAPHIC PHENOMENA

3. Mortality.

3.1. The measure of mortality: life expectancy.

3.2. Analysis of mortality by age and cause of death.

3.3. Analysis of sociodemographic factors of mortality

4. Fertility and nuptiality

4.1. Fertility measurement: synthetic period and generation indicators

4.2. Fertility by order

4.3. Analysis of reproduction indicators

4.4. The indicators of nuptiality

4.5. Explanatory theories of fertility and nuptiality

5. Migration

5.1. Demographic analysis of migration with stocks and flows.

5.2. Demographic indicators of migration.

5.3. Explanatory theories of migration.

6. Demographic approaches to social issues.

6.1. The labor market.

6.2. Education.

7. Principles of demographic projections by components.

7.1. Representation of a demographic projection in the Lexis diagram.

7.2. Application of the knowledge acquired in a five-year projection.


Methodology

The course is structured based on directed, supervised and autonomous activities where the student will learn to develop the contents of the subject with the face-to-face support of teachers at different levels.

- Guided activities: theoretical classes and face-to-face practices.

- Supervised activities: face-to-face monitoring of practices

- Autonomous activities: study of the theoretical contents and resolution of exercises.

Annotation: Within the schedule set by the centre or degree programme, 15 minutes of one class will be reserved for students to evaluate their lecturers and their courses or modules through questionnaires.


Activities

Title Hours ECTS Learning Outcomes
Type: Directed      
Lectures 23.5 0.94 1, 2, 4, 3
Problems in compute lab 23.5 0.94 1, 2, 4, 3
Type: Supervised      
Individual or small groups tutoring 10 0.4 1, 2, 4, 3
Type: Autonomous      
Autonomus work on assignments 20 0.8 1, 2, 4, 3
Autonomus work on assignments 20 0.8 1, 2, 4, 3
Compulsory reading 15 0.6 1, 2, 4, 3
Compulsory reading 25 1 1, 2, 4, 3

Assessment

Activities subject to evaluation:

- Two written tests of knowledge. Weighting factor: 50 per cent of the final mark. Each test would represent 25 per cent of the final mark.

- Completion of the individual practicals carried out in the computer classroom. Weighting factor: 40 per cent of the final mark.

- A paper on compulsory readings on demography and gender issues. Weighting factor: 10 per cent of the final mark.

Evaluation criteria:

- This subject does not incorporate single assessment

- The final mark for the course will be the weighted average of all the activities subject to evaluation provided that each of them exceeds the mark of 4 (otherwise the part/s with a mark lower than 4 must be recovered).

- The final mark of the objective test will be the average of the two written tests provided that each of them exceeds the mark of 4 (otherwise the part/s with a mark lower than 4 must be made up).

- Students who have only completed 1/3 of the evaluable activities will be graded as "Not evaluable".

- The activities not handed in or not completed by the indicated date will be graded as "Not Presented" with a mark of 0.

- The plagiarism or copy of an exercise will have a 0. The repetition of a copy will have the consequence of suspending the subject. In the event of a student committing any irregularity that may lead to a significant variation in the grade awarded to an assessment activity, the student will be given a zero for this activity, regardless of any disciplinary process that may take place. In the event of several irregularities in assessment activities of the same subject, the student will be given a zero as the final grade for this subject. Let's remember that a "copy" is considered a work that reproduces all or most of the work of oneor more classmates. "Plagiarism" is the fact of presenting all or part of a text of an author as its own, without mentioning the sources, be on paper or in digital format. See UAB documentation on "plagiarism" at: http://wuster.uab.es/web_argumenta_obert/unit_20/sot_2_01.html.

Review criteria:

The students will be able to request the revision of the notes of the evaluable activities during the week following the publication of the results and at the times established by the teacher.

- Recovery of the partial written tests, the computer classroom practices and the work on the gender dimension is foreseen before a possible final recovery.

- The final recovery of the subject will be carried out by means of a written test. Students who have completed 2/3 of the course's evaluable activities and have obtained a final mark of less than 5 points in the course will be able to sit the make-up test.

- The recovery mark will replace all the marks of the continuous assessment and cannot be higher than 5.

- In the event thattests or exams cannot be taken onsite, they will be adapted to an online format made available through the UAB’s virtual tools (original weighting will be maintained). Homework, activities and class participation will be carried out through forums, wikis and/or discussion on Teams, etc. Lecturers will ensure that students are able to access these virtual tools, or will offer them feasible alternatives.

 


Assessment Activities

Title Weighting Hours ECTS Learning Outcomes
Assessment of compulsory readings on different topics of demography and gender 10 0.5 0.02 1, 2, 5, 4, 3
Final redaction of Assignment Reports 40 10 0.4 1, 2, 5, 4, 3
Partial examens 50 2.5 0.1 1, 2, 5, 4, 3

Bibliography

Published books. There are different introductory manuals in Spanish. Some are brief and very basic such as:

VALLIN, Jacques. (1991). La Demografia. Alianza Editorial. Madrid

PRESSAT, Roland. (1979). Demografía estadística. Ariel. Barcelona

Other much more detailed introductory manuals sorted by publication date are:

SUSINO, Joaquín (2016). La práctica del análisis demografico, Dextra, Madrid

ViNUESA, Julio y PUGA, Dolores (2007). Técnicas y ejercicios de demografía. INE, Madrid

CASELLI, Graziella.; Vallin, Jacques. & Wunsch, Gerard. (2001). Démographie: Analyse et synthèse. París: Institut National d'Etudes Démographiques

CABRÉ, Anna (1999). El sistema català de reproducció, Proa, Barcelona

REHER, David (1995). Fuentes de Información demográfica en España. Centro de Investigaciones Sociológicas, Madrid.

VINUESA, Julio i altres. (1994). Demografía: análisis y proyecciones. Ed. Síntesis. Madrid

LIVI BACCI, Massimo. (1993). Introducción a la demografía. Ariel. Barcelona

PRESSAT, Roland. (1987). Diccionario de demografía. Oikos-tau, Barcelona

TAPINOS, Georges. (1990). Elementos de demografía. Espasa Calpe. Madrid

PRESSAT, Roland. 1983. El análisis demográfico. Fondo de Cultura Económica. Madrid

LEGUINA, Joaquín. (1981) (3ª edició). Fundamentos de demografía. Siglo XXI. Madrid

HENRY, Louis. (1976). Demografía. Labor. Barcelona

Other books published in Spanish on the evolution and the current demographic situation, at an international level and in Spain, sorted by date of publication, are:

NADAL, Jordi. (1984), La población española siglos XVI-XX, Barcelona, Ariel

PUYOL, Rafael. (1988), La población española, Madrid, Síntesis

VALLIN; Jacques. (1995). La población mundial. Alianza Editorial. Madrid.

LIVI BACCI, Massimo. (1993). Historia mínima de la población mundial. Ariel. Barcelona

LIVI BACCI, Massimo. (1998). Historia de la población europea. Crítica.Barcelona

PUYOL, Rafael. (ed.) (1997). Dinámica de la población en EspañaCambios demográficos en el último cuarto del siglo XX. Editorial Síntesis. Madrid.

LEAL, Jesús. (Coord). (2004). Informe sobre la situación demográfica en España. 2004, Madrid, Fundación Fernando Abril Martorell

FERNÁNDEZ CORDÓN, Juan Antonio and LEAL, Jesús (Coord) (2006), Análisis territorial de la demografía española, 2006, Madrid, Fundación Fernando Abril Martorell

Supplementary bibliography

NACIONES UNIDAS (1986): Manual X. Técnicas indirectas de estimación demográfica, Nueva York, Naciones Unidas.

HINDE, Andrew. (1998), Demographic Methods, Cornwall, arnoldo Publishers

ROGERS, Andrew and WILLEKENS, Frans .J. (Eds)(1986): Migration and settlement. A multiregional comparative study, Dordrecht:Reidel Publ. Co.

ROWLAND, Donald. T. (2003), Demographic methods and concepts, New York, Oxford University Press

SHRYOCK, Henry S. and SIEGEL, Jacob .S. (1976): The methods and materials of Demography, Academic Press, London.

PRESTON, Samuel H. et al. (2001), Demography. Measuring and Modelling Population Processes, Oxford, Blackwell Publishers

Links and additional bibliography will be provided in the classes

 


Software

The software that will start throughout the course is integrated by different Microsoft Office applications: Excel, Word and Access. The basic training plan will be the Excel program.